With over three months remaining before the PGL Singapore Major kicks off, VRS specialist MischiefCS2 has dropped his first round of invite predictions for the European region. While he stressed that these projections remain highly volatile given the amount of Counter-Strike yet to be played, the data offers an intriguing snapshot of where teams currently stand in the second season of 2026.
After running simulations across 60 million matches, the analyst calculated estimated invite probabilities for every competing team. Unsurprisingly, squads with strong early-season performances—Spirit, MOUZ, FUT, and Vitality—top the list with the highest chances of securing Major spots thanks to their deep tournament runs.
The real drama emerges when examining teams hovering near the cutoff line. 100 Thieves and Luminosity have struggled through rough starts to the season, yet maintain invite odds of 43.1% and 22.7% respectively due to several confirmed LAN appearances still on their schedules.
Perhaps most notably, BC.Game is completely absent from the projected invite list, suggesting their chances sit below the 5% threshold. Their lower current ranking combined with only one confirmed upcoming LAN attendance puts them in a precarious position. However, MischiefCS2 noted that numerous events haven't finalized their participant rosters yet, meaning a key invitation could dramatically shift a team's Major prospects moving forward.
